The Canadian housing market has seen record prices over the last two years. With record-low inventories and increasing demand, prices soared from coast-to-coast. It is the perfect recipe to create a seller’s market, meaning that competition for homes is fierce. RE/MAX brokers reported multiple-offer scenarios in key Canadian housing markets such as Toronto, Ottawa, and Vancouver. This leads many to question what prompts multiple offers and how to win a bidding war.

How a Bidding War Works

In a seller’s market, there are more buyers than homes available for sale. The combination of limited inventory and high demand often puts upward pressure on prices, creating the ideal conditions for a bidding war. Homes typically sell quickly in a seller’s market, and multiple offers on a listing are more likely, giving the seller the upper hand.

When market conditions favour sellers, demand is usually up, and inventory is down, which has been the case throughout the pandemic. With few listings on the market, the seller and listing agent may choose to set an offer deadline by which interested buyers must submit their offers. In a bidding war, there are multiple offers and pressure for potential buyers to compete to raise their bids, pushing the sale price well above asking.

A bidding war typically follows these steps:

• Buyers interested in the property submit their offers to the seller or real estate agent. The offer typically includes the proposed purchase price, conditions or contingencies, and the desired closing timeline.
• The seller reviews all received offers and assesses their attractiveness based on the purchase price, closing timeline, contingencies, financing details, and buyer qualifications.
• The seller may negotiate and respond to one or more buyers by issuing counteroffers. Counteroffers typically involve adjustments to the original offer’s purchase price, terms, or conditions.
• A bidding war can emerge if multiple buyers are still interested and engaged. Buyers may be notified that they are in a competitive situation and can revise and improve their offers.
• Buyers raise their initial offers, often exceeding the original asking price, to outbid other potential buyers and demonstrate their commitment to securing the property.
• The seller evaluates the revised offers and determines which is most favourable based on the purchase price, conditions, financing, and the buyer’s ability to close the deal.
• The seller accepts the winning offer, and the buyer proceeds to fulfill any remaining conditions or contingencies specified in the offer. Once all requirements are met, the sale is finalized, and the closing process begins.

In Canada, policymakers have introduced various measures to address these issues. For instance, cooling measures have been implemented to curb excessive speculation and prevent housing bubbles. These measures include foreign buyer taxes, restrictions on foreign investments, and stricter mortgage qualification rules. The objective is to ensure that the housing market remains accessible to Canadian residents and that affordability is not compromised.

The Importance of a Real Estate Agent in a Seller’s Market

Sellers can only hope to receive multiple offers on their listings. However, from the buyer’s perspective, it can be a frustrating and emotional experience. When you look at the bigger picture of a home purchase, “winning” is relative to the buyer’s goals. If the only objective is to buy a specific home, then offering the highest possible purchase price with no offer conditions is the way to go. It is the way to get the house you want.

However, most homebuyers have other goals, such as buying within a specific price point and a defined timeline for closing the deal and moving in. Then there’s the home itself. Does the buyer intend to fix and flip it? Demolish and build? Or are they seeking a move-in-ready home? Whatever that goal is, buyers should communicate it to their realtor, who can help strategize how to reach it. While you might need to make some concessions, your realtor will do what is necessary to realize as many of your goals as possible.

The real estate agent’s job is to approach the transaction objectively. This includes the process of real estate bidding and negotiating. They can bring logic to this emotional process and potentially help you avoid a massive financial risk. A professional, experienced real estate agent who knows the local market can help you keep your eyes on the prize – a home that suits you, your budget, and your long-term goals.

How to Win a Bidding War

Here are some strategies to help you make an intelligent bid and a wise purchase if all goes in your favour:

Know Your Budget – Knowing how much you can spend on a home is critical for a homebuyer. Getting a mortgage pre-approval can provide valuable insight and guarantees your mortgage interest rate for up to 120 days, which is essential as rates climb upward. When you’re ready to make an offer, despite your eagerness to win the war, so to speak, do your due diligence and consult with your lender before making a firm offer.

Consider the Worth of the House – This is especially important as housing prices soar, even in smaller communities. Your real estate agent will pull recent sales stats, giving you valuable insight into the selling price of comparable homes in the same neighbourhood and under the same market conditions. This can help you determine an offer you’re comfortable with and whether competing against other bids makes sense.

Reduce Your Offer Conditions – In a seller’s market, having fewer conditions on your offer can work in your favour. Flexibility on your desired closing date or inclusions could tip the scales in your favour. A clean offer is more likely to win in a seller’s market, especially in a bidding war. With that said, we highly recommend making the offer conditional on a satisfactory home inspection. Remember that even if you discover issues with the home in a seller’s market, you may still not have much negotiating power. However, having this information will help you decide if the house is worth what you’re expected to pay.

Consider the Location – Beyond the home itself, remember that location is a huge factor in determining a home’s value. Premium neighbourhoods come at higher prices, thanks to proximity to amenities, green space, transit routes, shopping, services, and other factors. Whatever draws people into the area is likely a factor driving up the selling price.

How to Avoid a Bidding War

Short-Term Strategy – One trick to winning a bidding war is to avoid it altogether. Make an offer before the home hits the MLS system or gains buyer attention through an open house. Your agent will best advise you on how to proceed, so prepare to drop everything to tour a new listing and make your offer before someone else does! (Note: Mortgage pre-approval in this scenario is critical.)

Long-Term Planning – The spring and summer real estate markets see the most activity under normal conditions, with buyers out in droves and bidding wars bubbling at the surface. If you’re not in a hurry to buy, minimize your competition and possibly even price by shopping in the “off” season. Winter sees a drop in inventory and demand, reducing your chance of being outbid.

Do Your Homework – You’ve determined how much you can afford, right? And you know what the home is worth based on the comparables your real estate agent pulled for you. You also know what the home is worth based on your lifestyle, budget, and future employment prospects. Make a bid that’s reflective of all these considerations. Before jumping on the bidding bandwagon, be confident you’re getting a good deal.

When asking how you win a bidding war, remember that the spoils don’t always go to the highest bidder. Know when to walk away. Even in a seller’s market, the perfect home is out there, waiting for you to find it.

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This year, Small Business Saturday is on Nov. 25. A strong small business community helps to create a dynamic and thriving healthy overall community. I am sharing some creative and fun ways on how you can support your local small businesses this holiday season.

Total residential unit sales in the Greater Edmonton Area (GEA) real estate market for September 2023 hit 2,058, dropping from August 2023 by 8.4% and increasing 25.8% compared to September 2022. New residential listings decreased slightly, at 0.1% year-over- year from September 2022, and decreasing 3.3% from August 2023. Overall inventory in the GEA was down 15.7% from September of last year, and down 2.8% from the previous month. 

Detached unit sales totalled 1,311, a decrease of 8.0% from August 2023, but up 26% from the previous year. Semi-detached unit sales were down 11.0% month-over-month but increased by 6.9% from September 2022. Row/Townhouse unit sales were down 20.6% from August 2023 and up 28.0% year-over-year. Apartment Condominium unit sales had an increase of 59.3% from September 2022, and are the only property type to see an increase from the previous month, sitting at 3.2% higher than August 2023. 

Total residential average prices came in at $394,000, a 0.1% decrease from September 2022, and a 1.0% decrease from August 2023. 

Detached homes averaged $493,0328, noting a 2.4% year-over- year increase, but a 0.4% decrease from August 2023. Semi-detached sold for an average of $353,929, resulting in a 4.2% decrease year-over-year, and a 5.2% decrease from the previous month. Row/townhouse prices were up 8.0% from September 2022 and up 5.4% month-over-month, selling at $267,100. Apartment Condominium average prices hit $182,103 showing a decrease of 5.7% from last month and a decrease of 1.6% from September 2022. 

The MLS® Home Price Index (HPI) composite benchmark price* in the GEA came in at $380,280, resulting in a decrease of 0.1% from August 2023, and a drop of 1.2% from September 2022. 

Detached homes averaged 42 days on the market, increasing three days from August 2023. Semi- detached homes averaged 37 days on the market, decreasing 5 days from the previous month, with row/townhouses averaging 42 days on the market, a decrease of two days month-over-month. Apartment condominiums averaged 54 days on the market, showing a two-day decrease from August 2023. Overall, all residential listings averaged 44 days on the market, decreasing by four days year-over-year and two days from August 2023. 

Craig Finnman ⁠
Re/Max Elite ⁠
craig@craigfinnman.ca ⁠
780-982-1589⁠

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If you are interested in purchasing a residential property in 2023, the competition will be fierce as housing supply remains tight and demand begins to be renewed. Mortgage rates have likely peaked, the consumer remains in decent shape, the Canadian government’s immigration program anticipates seeing hundreds of thousands of newcomers in the next couple of years, and the national economy is holding steady.

While housing affordability is not at the forefront of the federal government as it was in the last election campaign, many local governments are taking action to ensure that more Canadians can achieve the dream of homeownership. But will this be enough to increase housing opportunities and ownership rates? Many industry observers argue that federal policy proposals, such as home renovation tax credits and co-housing CMHC-backed mortgages, might not be enough to curb sky-high prices. Instead, policymakers need to facilitate more supply initiatives, like streamlining new developments and speeding up the application process.

Indeed, despite the housing correction over the last 18 months, prices are still above their pre-pandemic levels, be it a detached residential property in Atlantic Canada or a condominium in downtown Toronto. This has left many Canadian households to continue renting, which has also become an exorbitant expense in plenty of markets.

So, are these trends weighing on homeownership rates across the country?

Home Ownership Rates Drop Across Canadian Real Estate Market

Since the beginning of the century, the homeownership rate in the Canadian real estate market has steadily risen, climbing from 63.9 per cent in 2000 to an all-time high of 68.55 per cent in 2019. However, according to Statistics Canada, the national homeownership rate slipped to a four-year low of 66.5 per cent in 2022. In all provinces, homeownership rates have been on the decline.

Here is a breakdown of provincial homeownership levels:

• British Columbia: -3.2 per cent to 66.8 per cent
• Alberta: -2.7 per cent to 70.9 per cent
• Saskatchewan: -1.9 per cent to 70.7 per cent
• Manitoba: -2.6 per cent to 67.4 per cent
• Ontario: -3.1 per cent to 68.4 per cent
• New Brunswick: -2.7 per cent to 73 per cent
• Nova Scotia: -4 per cent to 66.8 per cent
• Prince Edward Island: -4.6 per cent to 68.8 per cent
• Newfoundland and Labrador: -1.8 per cent to 75.7 per cent

Put simply, the homeownership rate is higher at the provincial level than nationally. However, the two most populous and expensive Canadian real estate markets – Ontario and British Columbia – are closer to what it is nationwide.

In addition, Canada ranked 23rd among Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries. This was also below the OECD’s average of 71.5 per cent.

Overall, everything that has transpired over the past year, from higher interest rates to slowing economic conditions, has discouraged young Canadians about owning a residential property.

Survey: Young Canadians Discouraged About Homeownership

According to the Bank of Montreal’s recent Real Financial Progress Index, 68 per cent of Canadians feel purchasing a home is out of reach. Seventy-one per cent of Generation Z Canadians (18 to 24) are most likely to share this view. This is followed by 69 per cent of younger millennials (25 to 34) and 65 per cent of older millennials (35 to 44).

The June 2023 survey from the financial institution revealed that 67 per cent of Generation Z Canadians plan to defer their home-buying efforts, while 73 per cent of younger millennials postpone their home-buying plans.

“While the challenging market and economic conditions may pose hurdles and uncertainty, we encourage Canadians to work with a professional advisor or planner to explore the many paths to homeownership,” said Gayle Ramsay, the head of everyday Banking, segment and Customer Growth at BMO, in a statement.

Finally, 71 per cent of Canadians consider housing costs the third largest source of financial anxiety, following unknown expenses and concerns about their personal finances.

Another Stark Revelation: Falling Housing Investment

Housing investment is falling across the country.

Statistics Canada recently reported that investment in building construction slumped 1.3 per cent in March to $20.3 billion. Within this category, residential sector investment construction tumbled 2.1 per cent to $14.6 billion, while non-residential sector spending rose 0.9 per cent to $5.7 billion.

The statistics agency discovered that investment in single-family homes dropped 1.8 per cent to $7.9 billion, with seven provinces recording declines. Moreover, multi-unit construction slipped 2.4 per cent to $6.7 billion, led by Ontario (-4.7 per cent).

This trend is seen in new housing construction activity data Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC) data show that housing starts declined 23 per cent month-over-month in May, totalling 202,494 units. Despite an immense jump in April, it was down considerably in March at 213,800 units.

Rishi Sondhi, an economist at TD Bank, says this has been expected due to declines in home sales feeding “into falling construction activity.”

“This is also consistent with permit issuance, which has dropped to 2019 levels, before the pandemic-induced runup in demand and construction,” Sondhi wrote in a research note.

“That said, starts are volatile and not every data point will move in a straight line downwards. Even with today’s decline, starts are tracking 4% higher than their first-quarter average, thanks to an April pop. This, alongside what will likely be a super-sized gain in home sales should generate a positive second-quarter growth print for residential investment, supporting the overall economy.”

Heading Into 2024 – and Beyond!

The Canadian real estate market has many storylines to follow, from high borrowing costs to tight inventories. The coming year should be an exciting time in Canada, with many components that could weigh on or support the direction of the overall housing activity, be it interest rates or local reforms. Whether prices will rebound in the second half of 2023 and heading into 2024 remains to be seen.

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Regular Resets: Set a timer for 10 minutes each day to do a quick living room reset. Put away stray items, fluff pillows, and straighten furniture, maintaining a tidy and inviting space.

Closing the deal on a real estate transaction can be an exhilarating yet complex process. As you approach the finish line, it's crucial to ensure that all the necessary steps are taken to facilitate a seamless transition from buyer to owner. In this guide, we'll walk you through the essential elements of preparing for a successful closing, ensuring that every detail is accounted for.

1. Completing Repairs and Inspections: Before closing, it's essential to address any repair issues that were identified during inspections. Work closely with your real estate agent and contractors to ensure that all repairs are completed to the satisfaction of both parties. A well-maintained property builds trust and ensures a smoother closing process.

2. Submitting Disclosures: Transparency is key in real estate transactions. Ensure that you've provided all required disclosures about the property's condition, potential issues, and any historical data. This information helps buyers make informed decisions and can prevent future legal complications.

3. Reviewing Closing Costs: Closing costs can be a significant financial aspect of a real estate transaction. Review the estimated closing costs with your agent and lender well in advance. Understanding these costs will help you prepare financially and avoid any last-minute surprises.

4. Signing Documents: The closing process involves a substantial amount of paperwork. From loan documents to the property deed, ensure that you thoroughly review and understand each document before signing. If needed, consult a real estate attorney to clarify any legal aspects.

5. Handing Over the Keys: The symbolic moment of handing over the keys marks the official transfer of ownership. Coordinate with your agent and the buyer's representative to ensure a smooth exchange. Prepare any necessary instructions, such as alarm codes or appliance manuals, to make the transition as seamless as possible.

6. Closing the Transaction: Closing day is the culmination of weeks or even months of work. Ensure that you have a clear schedule for the day, allowing ample time for the final walkthrough, signing documents, and any last-minute clarifications. Be patient and prepared for potential delays.

In conclusion, preparing for closing involves a series of meticulous steps that demand attention to detail and effective communication. By completing repairs, submitting disclosures, understanding closing costs, carefully reviewing documents, facilitating the key handover, and navigating the final stages, you'll increase the likelihood of a successful and hassle-free closing.

Remember, partnering with a knowledgeable real estate agent and, if necessary, a real estate attorney, can provide invaluable guidance throughout the process. Now that you're armed with these tips, you're well on your way to confidently closing the deal on your real estate transaction.

Your journey to a seamless closing begins with knowledge!

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Under-Bed Storage: Utilize the space under your bed for storage. Invest in containers or bins to store seasonal clothing, shoes, or extra bedding, keeping your bedroom free from unnecessary clutter.

Nightstand Essentials: Keep your nightstand tidy by limiting it to essential items like a lamp, book, and a small tray for personal items. This minimalist approach promotes a serene and organized sleeping space.